Tales of Bittersweet Loyalty

The Seattle Mariners: A Sinking Ship that Was Already Sunk

July 28, 2011

Prior to yesterday’s 9-2 rout of the New York Yankees, my beloved Seattle Mariners made headlines for all the wrong reasons as they dropped a club record 17 straight games.

Just a few weeks ago, the M’s record sat at 43-43, only 2.5 games back of 1st place in the AL West. Seventeen straight losses (and 1 win!) later, the season is essentially over. The question seemingly on everyone’s minds is, “How did it all go so wrong, so fast?” The problem though, is that the question exhibits a general lack of understanding regarding the state of the team. (Grab your forks and knives, folks. Pancho is about to dish out a healthy serving of perspective.)

Last season, the Mariners had a historically poor offense, batting .236 for the season and scoring a paltry 513 runs, both numbers by far the worst in the majors. That team lost 101 games. This season has actually been statistically worse than that: A team batting average of .224, and 336 runs scored through July 27, 2011. Again, both categories rank dead last in the majors by a considerable margin.

Coming off the 101-loss season, the M’s were picked to again finish in the basement of the AL West by most experts. So, why is it suddenly a surprise to everyone that the Mariners are where they are in the standings? On July 27, 2010, Seattle was 39-62. A year later, with a worse offense, this team is 44-60. The record is exactly where it should be.

I’m a believer that the 162-game regular season does the best job of crowning division champions in any sport. Because there are so many games, the law of averages tends to even things out to where they should be statistically. The statistics should then, in turn, translate directly to the standings. The fact that this team was .500 only a few weeks ago was a statistical anomaly. The losing streak was the statistical Mother Nature’s way settings things straight again. The losses should’ve been there all along. It’s just really unfortunate (and newsworthy) when they all happen in a row like that. Really, the only difference from a year ago is that we already knew last season was over in May. I appreciate that this team was able to stay in the race into the summer months this year. Was it blind ambition? Foolish hope? Perhaps. But when the only direction to go is up, any and every small positive thing can be built upon.

You're Our Only Hope, Dustin Ackley

As for me, I’ve taken much from this season and learned a lot about the state of the franchise going forward. I’ll take Felix Hernandez and Michael Pineda against any 1-2 pitching duo in baseball for the next five years. Dustin Ackley has lived up to the hype of being the #2 overall draft pick two years ago, and he’s now the object of my current mancrush. I’m also a big fan of slugger Carlos Peguero, who was recently sent back down to AAA. He has no plate discipline, but he sure can mash the living hell out of the ball. Once he figures it out, you can pencil him in for 30+ home runs a season. There are also other prospects (Beavan, Carp, Seager, just to name a few) who look the part of being positive contributors in the future.

On the negative side, the M’s should bench, trade, or release the overpaid veteran bats who can’t hit. It makes no sense to pay $9 million a year for a third baseman with no power to hit .180. It also makes no sense to keep starting an outfielder who is hitting .190. Don’t care if he’s supposedly the best defensive centerfielder in the game. There’s a perfect role for him based on his production: Late-inning defensive replacement.

These are very trying times for this lifelong Mariners fan. It’s never fun when your team is in the dumps. There are two months left in the season, and I really hope that the M’s use this time to call up more prospects and give them all a shot. At this point of another lost season, the thing that keeps me coming back is the hope of a promising future, patiently waiting to be realized. More foolish hope? Perhaps. But there’s only one way to find out: Play ball. Go M’s!

  • Anonymous

    It would probably be more wise to cash in on Felix and Bedard for 4-5 prospects combined. For Felix, the M’s would basically have a buffet of any organization’s farm system. There is no way the Yankees would give up Banuelos, Montero and Betances for Ubaldo, but Cashman probably wouldn’t blink twice before loading them into the car and driving them to the airport for Felix. I’d even pay for the gas. 

    • Any team would love to get their hands on Felix, but I don’t think the M’s need to resort to such drastic measures just yet. After all, he’s only 25 years old. Trading him won’t make the Mariners contenders overnight. Why cast him away when they could rather keep trying to build around him for the next 10 years?  They have plenty of other trade chips that can address the prospect inventory. I fully expect Bedard to be shipped to a new address after his start tomorrow. Vargas has also proven to be a quality lefty that could be moved for something decent. Someone desperate for a leadoff hitter might even be tricked into taking Figgins in a deal. The M’s don’t need to address every position today. Keep in mind that the anemic offense has been due to the lack of veteran production, not an empty farm system. I forgot to mention Nick Franklin in my prospect list. He’s at least a year away, but he’s the shortstop of the future and was a 20/20 guy in the minors last season.

      • Anonymous

        The M’s will get so much for Felix that it would be worth it in the long run. I mean, look what you got for Cliff Lee. Granted, I’m a Yankee fan, but I’m looking at it through an Arsenal prism, where I hope we sell our captain Cesc Fabregas to Barcelona to get enough cash to buy two or three great young players and stretch them out for four or five seasons before they in turn want to fuck off to Man City or Real Madrid. 

        Vargas’s last five or so starts would worry me as a team trying to acquire him, though. I haven’t heard his name at all in the rumor mill.